Cecily Zamora
Tiz the Law is a majestic-looking colt and a spectacular 3-year-old that has won four straight graded stakes races, including the 152nd Belmont Stakes. While it is the favourite to win the Kentucky Derby, there are several horses that could beat it to the finish line. Tiz the Law has never been more than two lengths from the lead at the second call and it will face more speed than ever before. Here are some of the horses that could beat Tiz the Law.
| Characteristics | Values |
|---|---|
| Horses that can beat Tiz the Law | Honor A. P., Max Player, Art Collector, Thousand Words, Ny Traffic, Storm the Court |
| Jockey | Manny Franco |
| Trainer | John Shirreffs |
| Track | Churchill Downs |
| Odds | 3/5 |
| Number of wins | 4 |
| TimeformUS figures | 117, 121, 120, 126 |
| Brisnet speed figure | N/A |
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What You'll Learn
Max Player's speed
Max Player is a racehorse that has been tipped to beat Tiz the Law in the Kentucky Derby. Max Player is a late closer, so if the pace is too fast at the front, he will be able to pick up the pieces later in the race. Max Player has improved his final Brisnet speed figure in every race he has run, culminating in two triple-digit speed figures in his last two races, both losses to Tiz the Law in Grade 1 stakes. In his last race, Max Player closed the last quarter-mile of the Travers in 25.2 seconds, second only to Tiz the Law.
In the 2020 Kentucky Derby, Max Player was a 30-1 outsider, while Tiz the Law was the favourite. Tiz the Law had won four straight graded stakes races, including the Travers at 1 and 1/4 miles. Tiz the Law was the best 3-year-old in the country, and had never been more than two lengths from the lead at the second call. However, Max Player had more pace to run with in this race, and the scratches of Finnick the Fierce and King Guillermo left starting gate stalls No. 1, 2, 19, and 20 vacant, giving Max Player more room to avoid traffic.
In terms of Max Player's speed, he has been described as a "speed type" in a Roblox forum, where a user was trying to add a maximum player speed to their game. In Minecraft, "Speed" is a status effect that increases an entity's walking speed by 20% multiplied by the effect level. A player with a Speed level of 255 will move 500 blocks per tick.
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Authentic's early speed
Authentic is one of the lone early-speed horses in the 2020 Kentucky Derby. As an early-speed horse, Authentic is likely to bolt to the front quickly, enticing other horses to follow so he doesn't get loose on the lead. This tactic could help the closing styles of other horses, such as Max Player.
Early speed horses can adopt one of six racing tactics: they can get the lead by themselves, force the pace, press the pace, set the pace under pressure, engage in a duel, or chase the leader(s). Lone speed horses, or pressured speed horses, have a higher chance of winning than horses that duel for the lead at the first call. However, duelling horses still produce a positive ROI.
Handicappers who can identify early speed horses and bet on them properly are almost assured of making a profit at the races. Early speed horses ALWAYS influence the outcome of a race. However, it's important to note that early speed is most relevant in dirt races. While speed horses also win more than their fair share of races on the turf, their percentages are lower, and their overall trips are probably more important.
In the 2020 Kentucky Derby, Authentic narrowly beat Ny Traffic in a race at a mile and an eighth. The extra distance in the Derby could help Ny Traffic, who had never won a graded stakes event but had been extremely competitive all year.
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Art Collector's running style
Art Collectors Running Style
Art collectors have long been associated with royalty, nobles, and religious institutions, particularly in non-Western countries. For instance, Chinese emperors were known for accumulating vast collections of artwork, which were often dispersed or destroyed upon the overthrow of dynasties. Over time, the focus shifted to include aristocratic and non-aristocratic collectors, such as Pierre Crozat, Horace Walpole, and the Fugger banking family. The 19th century witnessed the rise of wealthy industrialists as preeminent collectors, with Americans like J.P. Morgan, Henry Clay Frick, and Andrew Mellon combining wealth with artistic discernment.
Today, art collectors play a pivotal role in the fashion industry, with luxury brands increasingly engaging with art and cultural events. This trend intensified after the COVID-19 pandemic, as brands sought to connect with high-spending consumers and showcase their creative vision and values. Gucci, for instance, presented its Cruise 2025 collection at the Tate Modern, emphasizing the interplay of art, fashion, and heritage. Similarly, designer Rejina Pyo operates a store that showcases artworks by emerging artists, reflecting the enduring relationship between art and fashion.
The process of collecting art has evolved with the availability of online platforms and databases, allowing collectors to discover works from diverse geographies and periods. Collectors can now easily explore and acquire design works, which encompass furniture, decorative arts, and lighting, in addition to traditional paintings and prints. This integration of art and design is evident in art fairs like TEFAF and Design Miami, where design galleries take centre stage.
When it comes to building an art collection, pragmatic considerations come into play, such as spatial limitations within display environments. Collectors may start by focusing on wall space for paintings and prints, but as their collection grows, they can explore three-dimensional design elements that utilise floor and surface areas, adding dimension to their art collection and their household. This approach not only enhances the aesthetic appeal but also increases the potential for pieces to gain value over time.
Lastly, collectors should not underestimate the importance of relationships with gallerists and art dealers. Forming connections with galleries and showrooms can provide valuable insights and access to artworks that align with their personal aesthetic and functional needs. By embracing both traditional and contemporary avenues for art acquisition, collectors can make informed decisions and develop well-rounded collections that reflect their unique tastes.
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Honor A.P.'s trainer
Trainer John Shirreffs, who trained Honor A.P., knows how to get a horse to peak for a big day. Honor A.P. gave a career-best performance in his Santa Anita Derby win, setting highs for final speed and pace. However, this is also known as a double top, a negative pattern that often indicates a worse effort next out. This could be why he took a step back in the Shared Belief Stakes at Del Mar, losing to Thousand Words by three-quarters of a length.
Shirreffs has previously campaigned the great Zenyatta, and Honor A.P. is in expert hands. Shirreffs is married to Dottie Ingordo-Shirreffs, the longtime racing manager for Zenyatta's owners, the Mosses. Dottie Ingordo-Shirreffs is also the mother of David Ingordo, the bloodstock agent involved in Honor A.P.'s purchase.
Honor A.P. was a beautiful colt when he was born, with a standout appearance and a cooperative nature. He is the son of Hollywood Story, who was also trained by Shirreffs. Hollywood Story won graded stakes for four years at Inglewood Oval and placed in 11 other stakes, competing in the Breeders' Cup four times. She has gone on to success as a broodmare, with four of her seven winners being stakes performers.
Shirreffs and jockey Mike Smith have teamed up 42 times over the last two seasons, winning at a 31% clip. This duo has a Kentucky Derby win together with longshot Giacomo.
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Ny Traffic's competitiveness
Ny Traffic is a competitive horse that has a chance to beat Tiz the Law in the 2020 Kentucky Derby. While Tiz the Law is the favourite, Ny Traffic has shown great competitiveness throughout the year.
Ny Traffic had a huge race in the G1 Haskell, just missing out to Authentic by a nose. This race was at a mile and an eighth, so the extra distance in the Kentucky Derby could work in his favour. Although he has never won a graded stakes event, he has proven his competitiveness by finishing third in the G2 Risen Star, second in the G2 Louisiana Derby, and second in the G3 Matt Winn, which took place at Churchill Downs.
In comparison, Tiz the Law has won four straight graded stakes races, including the Travers at 1 and ¼ miles. Tiz the Law is the best 3-year-old in the country and is the most likely winner of the Kentucky Derby. However, with a large field of 16 horses, anything could happen.
Overall, Ny Traffic's consistent performance and adaptability make him a strong contender to beat Tiz the Law in the Kentucky Derby. While Tiz the Law is the favourite, Ny Traffic's competitiveness cannot be overlooked, and he may be able to leverage his experience and endurance to pull off an upset.
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Frequently asked questions
Although Tiz the Law is the favourite to win the Kentucky Derby, there are a few horses that could beat him. These include Honor A.P., Max Player, and Art Collector.
Honor A.P. is a strong contender, with one source giving odds of 5-1. Honor A.P. is trained by John Shirreffs, who knows how to get a horse ready for a big race.
Max Player is a late closer, so if the pace is too fast, he may be able to pick up the pieces towards the end of the race. Max Player has improved his final Brisnet speed figure in every race he has run. He is trained by Steve Asmussen, who is a Hall of Fame trainer. The odds of Max Player winning are 30-1.
